Real Estate News

House lawmakers approved a $6 billion measure that aims to provide rebates to homeowners who invest in energy efficiency improvements. The bill, officially known as the Home Star Energy Retrofit Act but better known as "cash for caulkers," has been touted by President Obama since December as one of the signature pieces of his administration’s larger job-creation strategy. The act "is a common-sense bill that will create jobs, save consumers money, and strengthen our economy," President Obama said after the House passed the measure. "We have workers eager to do new installations and renovations, and factories ready to produce new energy-efficient building supplies." House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., estimates that the legislation will create nearly 168,000 jobs in construction, manufacturing, and retail. The vote simply authorizes the creation of the program; it does not appropriate the funds needed to run it. Source: Associated Press

Unmarried women accounted for 21% of home purchases in 2009, while unwed males were 10% of the buyers, according to a National Association of Realtors report in November. It’s a dramatic shift from 1981, the first year the numbers were tracked, when single women and men each accounted for 10% of home sales. Single women have held steady at the 20 % mark for more than five years, yet when the Urban Land Institute hosted its annual real-estate conference in late April, analysts had to remind the audience to expect big numbers from young, single female buyers. "I’ve given some of my [home-building] clients lessons on how to be gender friendly," said Brooke Warrick, president of the market research firm American Lives. He reminded sellers to treat young women as viable buyers, not bystanders, by doing something as simple as handing them a brochure when they enter a for-sale home. These women tend to stake their claim on homes in the 1,700-square-foot range predominantly in the Washington, D.C., California and Texas markets, Warrick said. After segmenting the market, Warrick noticed that young women, especially those rooted in secure industries like health care, make more money than their male peers. Source: MarketWatch

Can it be possible? Despite the housing bust and high foreclosure rates, in some areas real estate agents are complaining that they don’t have enough homes to sell. There is currently an eight-month supply of homes on the market, meaning that, at the current sales pace, it would take eight months to run through the backlog. That’s still a lot compared to the six-month supply that is expected in a normal market, but it is much better than it was. In March, there were nearly 2% fewer homes on the market than there were a year ago, and 21.7% fewer than the record of 4.6 million in July 2008. In some areas, supplies are even bidding-war tight. In Denver, for example, supply has fallen to 5.7 months from 6.2. In Phoenix it has declined to 4.5 from 5.2; and in San Francisco inventory has halved, to 3.2 months from 6.5 last March. In California, almost all cities have a short supply of single-family homes. That’s especially true in the lower-priced categories, according to Leslie Appleton-Young, chief economist for the California Association of Realtors. The supply of homes that sell for less than $300,000 is at 3.2 months statewide, down from an already low 3.3 month supply 12 months ago. Inventory of moderately priced homes, those between $300,000 and 500,000, fell to 4.2 months in March, down from 4.5 months in March 2009. There are plenty of more expensive homes in California, but this inventory is going quick: inventory for million-dollar-plus homes has dropped from 21.6 months to 10.9 months. Source: CNN/Money.com

 

 

 

The Market

The Markets. Rates were down to the lowest levels of the year in the past week. Freddie Mac announced that for the week ending May 13, 30-year fixed rates averaged 4.93%, down from 5.00% the previous week. The average for 15-year fixed fell to 4.30%. Adjustables were also lower with the average for one-year adjustables falling to 4.02% and five-year adjustables decreasing to 3.95%. A year ago 30-year fixed rates were at 4.86%. "Rates on fixed-rate loans declined for the 5th straight week," said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist." The National Association of Realtors reported that median house prices are recovering in more local areas in the latest quarter. On a year-over-year basis for the 152 areas the association reports on, 91 metropolitan areas had positive growth in the first quarter of this year. This compares to 67 areas showing positive annual growth in the fourth quarter of 2009 and only 30 cities in the third quarter of last year." Rates indicated do not include fees and points and are provided for evidence of trends only. They should not be used for comparison purposes. Rates indicated do not include fees and points and are provided for evidence of trends only. They should not be used for comparison purposes.

 

 

Current Indices For Adjustable Rate Mortgages
Updated May 14, 2010

 

Daily Value

Monthly Value

 

May 13

April

6-month Treasury Security

0.22%

0.24%

1-year Treasury Security

0.40%

0.45%

3-year Treasury Security

1.37%

1.64%

5-year Treasury Security

2.27%

2.58%

10-year Treasury Security

3.55%

3.85%

12-month LIBOR

 

0.951% (April)

12-month MTA

 

0.413% (April)

11th District Cost of Funds

 

1.859% (March)

Prime Rate

 

3.25%

Doing the Jitter Bug

We checked the markets last Thursday morning and compared to other days, they were fairly stable at the open. So how did analysts describe the trading? They said that the markets were "jittery." We wonder if the markets are jittery or it is the analysts who are jittery. Certainly, the market movements of the past few weeks would make anyone watching reach for some tranquilizers. Day-to-day volatility has become routine and the "jitters" became a self-fulfilling prophesy as the markets traded off sharply Thursday and Friday. Despite this selloff, stocks gained for the week as the markets stayed above the lows hit on "Scary Thursday" of the previous week. Oil prices and rates are also down from their peak which is no coincidence and should help the economy in the short run at these lower levels. Also, gold hit a record high last week. Gold’s strength is no surprise with the world markets in turmoil as gold is typically considered a safe haven along with U.S. Treasuries. Add the fact that many are predicting that inflation will return with the economic recovery and there is more than one factor supporting the price of gold.

On the other hand, aren’t these factors conflicting? If Europe’s crisis gets worse and drags down the economic recovery, does not the risk of inflation fall? If you look at the economic news we have released recently, all signs are pointing to the economic recovery continuing. Jobless claims continue to shrink, albeit ever so slowly. Businesses are starting to build inventories, a sign of confidence, and retail sales are rising. Even home loan delinquencies are improving. Some analysts are saying that we will see a reduction in the number of foreclosures by the end of this year. Employment and foreclosures are closely linked. We need both to be moving in the right direction and, for now, even though the improvements are subtle, they represent improvement.

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